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Monday, May 07, 2007

And so it begins...Again

I don’t really believe it’s likely that Iraq will be able to provide for their own democratic process any time soon. This most recent development is just yet another nail in the coffin of America’s hope of success in the middle eastern region. I the advent of a functioning democracy does not simply happen overnight, and definitely not as a result of being imposed on a war-torn state of warlord-driven anarchy. This is basically the scenario that you have in iraq, combined with very deep rifts between the major ethnic/religious groups. I just don’t see that being overcome in a short time-period. Really the only way it could have worked was if we could have kept the Hussein govt/infrastructure in place and simply taken over the working of it. Instead, we destroyed everything of structure within the country, both physical and administrative, and did not rush in with replacements. The emphasis now simply doesn’t matter, because we let the insurgency and counter-american efforts build up so much. I don’t see a good way out, but realistically there cannot be a coherent peace in that country while the Sunni and Shiite contingents are at each other’s throats over the resources and control…

 

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