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Sunday, April 15, 2007

Declare War on Global Warming?

The Military Advisory Council definitely hit the nail on the head, here. It really is just a matter of time before more extreme climate change incites violent unrest in many more areas. This same topic was explored extensively in Jared Diamond's book Collapse (follow-up to Guns, Germs, and Steel), and pointed out numerous historical examples of societies that fell apart in destructive civil wars due to competition over resources that was brought on by climate change.

The real question is how we actually "prepare" for these scenarios, since the council advises we couple national security planning with analysis and predictions of climate change. Do we include in offensive and campaign strategies a component of long-term, strategic, environmental influence? Will this just devolve into the creation of more specialized military units intended to respond to the isolated scenarios without addressing the underlying issues? Admittedly, the military has a small role, at best, in affecting wholesale environmental reform, so I'm not sure what exactly this report is going to suggest for changes...perhaps their intention is simply to elevate the importance of the environment in the eyes of defense sector, leveraging the extensive budgets and political influence already dedicated to that sector. I think this would be the most sensible...

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